Research & Testing in Marketing
Jack Condon July, 2014
Direct Marketing Research
The purpose of direct marketing research is to predict likely buyers, identify likely defectors, find the next best product and to analyze the audience for our marketing.
Why?
To create rules about how an audience behaves. The easiest way to do this is by gathering consumer data.
- Age
- Income
- Children
- Length of Residence
- Wealth
- Homeowner or Renter
- Married or Single
- Credit Rating
Predicting Likely Buyers
Create two groups (preferably demographically similar) and send them a piece of marketing
Then, take one of the groups and run a multiple regression or CHAID to create a predictive model
Then, score both groups based on the model and sort the groups into deciles
If deciles in both groups have a similar response rate then your model is good.
Use this model to score prospects going forward
Test Group
Decile
Number
Buyers
Buying
1
2600
397
15.27%
2
2600
230
8.85%
3
2600
113
4.35%
4
2600
93
3.58%
5
2600
76
2.92%
6
2600
44
1.69%
7
2600
24
.92%
8
2600
11
.42%
9
2600
9
.35%
10
2600
3
.12%
Control Group
Decile
Number
Buyers
Buying
1
2600
400
15.38%
2
2600
237
9.12%
3
2600
109
4.19%
4
2600
107
4.12%
5
2600
72
2.77%
6
2600
41
1.58%
7
2600
20
.77%
8
2600
10
.38%
9
2600
8
.31%
10
2600
4
.15%
Identifying Defectors
Likelihood to defect is modeled just like marketing response (CHAID or multiple regression)
Sorting customers by these two variables will help identify where to focus retention efforts.
Firmographics
- Great B2B Tool
- Generally more detailed than consumer data
- We can use this information to find firms that aren't buying products that similar firms are buying
- Very helpful in understanding shift to defined-contribution (e.g. Darden, Sears moving to private exchanges first)
Audience Analysis
-
Attitudinal: Planners, Jugglers & Followers
-
Demographic: Geography, family status, etc.
Final Thoughts
- It's a good idea to keep a record book of marketing testing so that knowledge about the audience can be shared.
- E-mail: most important thing in e-mail marketing is the subject line. Test several subject lines before starting your campaign.